Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread (user search)
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  Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 7504 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,963


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« on: May 19, 2015, 12:54:28 PM »

If I had to guess, I'd say Bevin is most likely to win the primary.

He is just the sort of Tea Party establishment candidate who would beat the polls in the primary, then lose the general.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,963


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2015, 01:49:52 PM »

Who would be the best Republican candidate to beat Conway? Bevin?

Probably Will Scott, who is trailing all the other Republicans.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,963


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2015, 04:51:55 PM »

Polls closing soon in Eastern Kentucky. Does anyone have a link to the county by county results?

http://datacenter.courier-journal.com/projects/2015-ky-primary-elections/
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,963


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2015, 09:44:47 PM »

So it's a virtual tie between a mega tea partier/snake oil salesman and a domestic abuser?

They were both Tea Party. It appears as if Bevin won the suburban Tea Party, while Comer won the rural Tea Party.

The urban Tea Party is practically nonexistent. It consists wholly of the 80-year-old who calls the police because someone lit a firecracker.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,963


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #4 on: May 20, 2015, 09:28:05 PM »

Well, I can't argue that the Republican's did have more competitive races that probably drew out more voters, but until recent years, Democratic primary voters always dwarfed Republican voter turnouts in statewide races.  There is no party registration in Kentucky, and to me, these numbers are a clear indication that Kentuckians are finally leaving behind 150 years of allegiance to the Democratic party at state and local levels.

Kentucky does have party registration. And this was a closed primary.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,963


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #5 on: May 25, 2015, 01:13:54 PM »

Pretty amazing Comer won 4 CDs and still came up short:



Republicans in northern Kentucky are very militant - even though they still trail in registration numbers.
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