Republicans Gain Vacant State Senate Seat in Kentucky (user search)
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  Republicans Gain Vacant State Senate Seat in Kentucky (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republicans Gain Vacant State Senate Seat in Kentucky  (Read 2324 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« on: March 05, 2015, 12:48:16 PM »

On the other hand, can someone with knowledge of Kentucky politics enlighten me how the current chambers now have such a large discrepancy?

The House map was drawn by Democrats who wanted to appease Republicans.

But the Senate map was drawn by actual Republicans.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2015, 12:51:46 PM »

That said, the Democrats actually got more votes in Kentucky Senate elections statewide, but still have far fewer seats.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2015, 07:30:20 PM »

Bandit, why does Kentucky love Republicans so much?

Most statewide offices are Democratic.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2015, 07:44:52 PM »

That said, the Democrats actually got more votes in Kentucky Senate elections statewide, but still have far fewer seats.

Is there anywhere that I can find actual numbers? I'm searching for total votes cast for the two parties in the Kentucky House and Senate elections and can't seem to find anything except the individual districts.

Someone told me this right after the election.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2015, 11:52:23 PM »

It's also worth noting that this district had changed boundaries significantly since the last election there. The last election was in 2012 - before Kentucky redistricted its state legislature.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2015, 12:09:43 PM »

In terms of explaining the discrepancy, I would put forward this theory.  As Kentucky has slowly transitioned to being a Republican state, it has done so from the Federal level in a trickle down fashion to the state and county level.  For instance, it is hard to get a Democrat to win a Presidential or Senate election (or US House) in Kentucky, but it is still infrequent to get a Republican governor or state cabinet member elected.  I'm guessing that at county level, there are still a higher proportion of Democratic County Judges (Executives) than you would expect if you looked at the county-by-county vote totals for Federal positions.  If true, I would infer that this would lead to somewhat of a dearth of natural Republican candidates for the State House of Reps and hence some Democrats face re-election unopposed or against an opponent with no name recognition.  Also, there are no term limits for Kentucky legislators, so there are fewer open seats.  Thoughts?

Many more Republicans than Democrats were unopposed.

I wonder what percentage of Kentuckians live under a Republican county executive. I'm pretty sure Louisville and Lexington have Democratic mayors (which is really the top executive for those counties). The 3 heavily populated counties in northern Kentucky have Republican judge-executives, but 2 of these counties are urban enough that the Democrats will probably take the lead soon. I know 3 other big counties have a Republican, but I'm pretty sure at least one other big county has a Democrat. Mason County has an independent.
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