2012 Intrade rankings (user search)
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Author Topic: 2012 Intrade rankings  (Read 33164 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« on: October 23, 2012, 03:43:28 PM »
Why have Obama's Intrade numbers gone down by 5 points today? That doesn't make a bit of sense.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2012, 07:10:26 PM »
Well, now we've got our answer as to what happened:

http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2012/10/intrade-manipulation-fail.html
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2012, 08:44:13 PM »
This piece describes in detail what happened:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/10/23/how-to-manipulate-prediction-markets-and-boost-mitt-romneys-fortunes
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2012, 12:35:04 AM »
Quote from: SirMuxALot on October 24, 2012, 12:33:57 AM
Wisconsin, Iowa last trade numbers are very stale.

That's because the Republican Party is very stale.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,964


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2012, 12:58:11 AM »
Quote from: SirMuxALot on October 24, 2012, 12:53:27 AM
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 24, 2012, 12:35:04 AM
That's because the Republican Party is very stale.

Did you even notice that what I said was a nod towards Obama's EC numbers - i.e., they should be higher than LJ's map indicates?  Or did you just see the blue state avatar and fire off a snarky response without comprehending?

I'm just telling it like it is.
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