National Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 312668 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #50 on: October 23, 2012, 08:45:13 PM »

Plus, the entire thing is pre-debate.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #51 on: October 23, 2012, 09:03:46 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 23, 2012, 09:02:19 PM
Quote from: Governor-elect Scott on October 23, 2012, 08:46:43 PM
Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #52 on: October 24, 2012, 12:33:22 AM »
The pollsters are basically using a Jim Crow voter screen for their LV numbers.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #53 on: October 24, 2012, 12:56:06 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 24, 2012, 12:54:17 PM
Obama is having a very big day. Early signs of a debate bounce?

I think it's more of a "Romney basically stinks" bounce.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #54 on: October 25, 2012, 04:13:32 PM »
Quote from: Clinton1996 "Sec. of Explaining Stuff" on October 25, 2012, 04:08:05 PM
And to dispel doubts about their bias among Republicans, the WasPost/ABC Tracking Poll puts Romney up 3.
Obama- 47%(-1)
Romney-50%(+1)

When it's a tie in NC and FL? Hahaha, I don't think so.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #55 on: October 25, 2012, 04:17:03 PM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 25, 2012, 04:14:49 PM
It's actually a 3 point lead in Virginia. Lines up great with this poll.

Only Rasmussen has Romney ahead in VA.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #56 on: October 25, 2012, 10:49:59 PM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 25, 2012, 10:41:43 PM
Romney continues to dominate among whites!

Weird how I'm just not seeing it on the ground.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #57 on: October 25, 2012, 10:55:02 PM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 25, 2012, 10:52:18 PM
Mathematically illogical. Those are 2 of the least white states in the nation.

Whites in the Deep South vote Republican by margins that are simply unbelievable. I'm talking 80% in some states.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #58 on: October 26, 2012, 11:25:05 AM »
People on Daily Kos are saying there's a brand spankin' new Rand poll that says Obama is up by 6. I'm talking brand new, folks. But I haven't seen it mentioned here yet.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #59 on: October 26, 2012, 11:26:38 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 26, 2012, 11:17:26 AM
Romney leads by 20 among Indies.

I don't like this ...

But Obama always has a smashing lead among self-described moderates. If he was losing moderates, I'd be worried.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #60 on: October 26, 2012, 12:16:35 PM »
Quote from: dirks on October 26, 2012, 12:12:09 PM
Gallup 10/26/12

Romney - 51
Obama - 46

Good grief, they are delusional.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #61 on: October 26, 2012, 12:27:12 PM »
Quote from: dirks on October 26, 2012, 12:23:34 PM

they were right on the money in 1984, 1996 and 2004...and were very accurate with Obama's final number in 2008. They also got Bush Sr. final number correct in 1988

This is 2012.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #62 on: October 26, 2012, 04:33:07 PM »
Quote from: Former President Polnut on October 26, 2012, 04:27:45 PM
Can someone confirm that ABC/WaPo only count the 'certain to vote', and don't include those who will 'probably vote'?

Daily Kos had some stuff about this last night, and yes, ABC only counts the "certain" crowd. And they eliminate half of them too.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #63 on: October 27, 2012, 09:10:27 AM »
Quote from: Bain Capital on October 27, 2012, 09:07:31 AM
The South will confirm every stereotype if Romney wins the popular vote, but loses the election based on strong support in the South alone...

Maybe it's time to bring back Reconstruction.

I'm being serious.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #64 on: October 29, 2012, 12:30:13 PM »
Quote from: AWallTEP81 on October 29, 2012, 12:27:57 PM
Obama might not win a single county in WV.

He will.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #65 on: October 31, 2012, 02:11:43 PM »
Quote from: DL on October 31, 2012, 02:07:20 PM
Just saw a tweet that PSRAI (Princeton Survey Research Associates International) just put out a national poll with Obama leading 50 to 45% nationally...a five point spread would actually be quite consistent with the statemwide polls we see

PollingReport.com ‏@pollreport

White House 2012: Obama-Biden 50% / Romney-Ryan 45% (National Journal/PSRAI, LV, 10/25-28) http://bit.ly/onIYJO

I saw it too, and someone on Daily Kos says they use a stiff LV screen. If there's high turnout, this is gonna be a blowout.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #66 on: November 01, 2012, 04:10:40 PM »
Quote from: Lief on November 01, 2012, 04:05:43 PM
Obama is surging nationally:

WaPo
Obama 49%
Romney 48% (-1)

This is not even factoring in the big Bloomberg bump he'll be getting starting tonight.

The Bloomberg endorsement hurts him. I cringed when I read about it.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #67 on: November 01, 2012, 04:12:37 PM »
Quote from: Lief on November 01, 2012, 04:11:49 PM
Michael Bloomberg is incredibly popular in the heartland.

You've got to be joking.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,960


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #68 on: November 03, 2012, 01:27:43 PM »
Remember the national polls are missing the Northeast right now.
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