Republican Primaries: Campaign Overview & Results

[Joe Republic]

 

K A N S A S   C A U C U S


INTRODUCTION


------------------------------------

There are a total of 15 convention delegates at stake (out of 1,913 in total), and like every other election during primary season, they will be apportioned proportionally according to each candidate's share of the vote in each state.  However, as in all other primaries, candidates must reach a threshold of 15% of the vote in order to claim a share of the delegates.




Eligible Candidates & Time Availability


Gov. Andrew M.A. Cereal (Michigan) - 190 hours; $7,184,565

Rep. James Wallace (Virginia) - 61 hours; $7,160,790





Specific Information

Some campaign activities vary in cost depending on its number of congressional districts.  This is how much the following activities will cost in Kansas during this event:


15 delegates are at stake.  The state has 4 electoral districts.

Each individual level of campaign organization here will cost $400,000 (L1 = $400k; L2 = $800k; L3 = $1.2m).  Each level of campaign ad funding will cost $200,000 (L1 = $200k; L2 = $400k; L3 = $600k).

[Joe Republic]

 

Gov. Andrew M. A. Cereal



Kansas Caucus Campaign

190 campaign hours available

$7,184,565 in funds


Fundraising

- 30 hours

+ $154,420


Endorsements

None

KANSAS

• Organization
  
  Level 0 (@ $000,000 per district x 4 districts)
  
  - $0
  
  
  
• Speeches
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 0 hours
  
  
  
• General Campaigning
  
  - 10 hours
  
  
  
• Campaign Ads
  
  

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  - $0
  
  

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  - $0
  
  

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  - $0
  
  
  
  
  

142 campaign hours remaining

$7,338,985 in funds remaining

[Joe Republic]

 

Rep. James Wallace (R-VA)



Kansas Caucus Campaign

61 campaign hours available

$7,160,790 in funds


Fundraising

- 0 hours

+ $0


Endorsements

None

KANSAS

• Organization
  
  Level 3 (@ $300,000 per district x 4 districts)
  
  - $1,200,000
  
  
  
• Speeches
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  
  
• General Campaigning
  
  - 48 hours

[Joe Republic]

 
KANSAS (cont.)

• Campaign Ads
  
  

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  - $600,000
  
  

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  - $600,000
  
  

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  - $600,000
  
  
  
  
  

3 campaign hours remaining

$4,160,790 in funds remaining

[Joe Republic]

 

KANSAS CAUCUS RESULTS

With 100% of precincts reporting, I'm pleased to announce that the winner is:


Rep. James Wallace of Virginia!!


The full results are as follows:

Wallace 68.9%   + $1,000,000
Cereal 31.1%   + $500,000




ANALYSIS

Another victory for Jim Wallace tonight, and by a pretty resounding margin too.  It was probably more of a symbolic victory however, since Kansas is relatively light on delegates, and Andrew Cereal still has a clear lead on that front.

Wallace again put in the kind of effort we've all come to expect; nothing short of exhaustive.  Working almost up to the end of his schedule here in Kansas, and spending nearly half of his remaining budget, he did a lot to ensure victory here tonight.  His speeches were of the same kind of caliber we've been seeing so far (which has been excellent).  He also made a very wise move in investing in the most efficient and effective campaign organization possible, which really boosted him even further ahead.

Andrew Cereal again put in a decent effort in Kansas, much like in the last stage.  However, compared to the sheer force and volume of his opponent, it simply wasn't enough.  Whereas Wallace produced a maximum number of speeches and ads, and had the highest level of organization, Cereal produced four speeches, no ads, and had no organization at all.  That said, his style of speaking has improved a lot lately.  But will that alone be enough to stop his hemorrhaging momentum?  The next stop is Illinois; a large state in his Midwestern back yard.  It could well be make or break.




DELEGATE COUNT

Kansas

Wallace: 10
Cereal: 5


TOTALS

Cereal: 664
Wallace: 547
Soult: 158 ( -> Cereal)
Calhoun: 48 ( -> Cereal)
Vandervoot: 18 ( -> Soult)
Wixted: 11 ( -> Cereal)
Arage: 6 ( -> Soult)

Unaffiliated: 120



POST-ELECTION SPEECHES

None so far.

[Joe Republic]

 

I L L I N O I S
P R I M A R Y


INTRODUCTION


------------------------------------

There are a total of 64 convention delegates at stake (out of 1,913 in total), and like every other election during primary season, they will be apportioned proportionally according to each candidate's share of the vote in each state.  However, as in all other primaries, candidates must reach a threshold of 15% of the vote in order to claim a share of the delegates.




Eligible Candidates & Time Availability


Gov. Andrew M.A. Cereal (Michigan) - 178 hours; $7,838,985

Rep. James Wallace (Virginia) - 39 hours; $5,160,790





Specific Information

Some campaign activities vary in cost depending on its number of congressional districts.  This is how much the following activities will cost in Illinois during this event:


64 delegates are at stake.  The state has 19 electoral districts.

Each individual level of campaign organization here will cost $1,900,000 (L1 = $1.9m; L2 = $3.8m; L3 = $5.7m).  Each level of campaign ad funding will cost $950,000 (L1 = $950k; L2 = $1.9m; L3 = $2.85m).

[Joe Republic]

 

Gov. Andrew M. A. Cereal



Illinois Primary Campaign

178 campaign hours available

$7,838,985 in funds


Fundraising

- 0 hours

+ $0


Endorsements

None

ILLINOIS

• Organization
  
  Level 2 (@ $200,000 per district x 19 districts)
  
  - $3,800,000
  
  
  
• Speeches
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 0 hours
  
  
  
• General Campaigning
  
  - 50 hours
  
  
  
• Campaign Ads
  
  

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  - $0
  
  

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  - $0
  
  

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  - $0
  
  
  
  
  

120 campaign hours remaining

$4,038,985 in funds remaining

[Joe Republic]

 

Rep. James Wallace



Illinois Primary Campaign

39 campaign hours available

$5,160,790 in funds


Fundraising

- 0 hours

+ $0


Endorsements

None

ILLINOIS

• Organization
  
  Level 1 (@ $100,000 per district x 19 districts)
  
  - $1,900,000
  
  
  
• Speeches
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  

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  - 2 hours
  
  
  
• General Campaigning
  
  - 0 hours
  
  
  
• Campaign Ads
  
  

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  - $1,900,000
  
  

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  - $0
  
  

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  - $0
  
  
  
  
  

29 campaign hours remaining

$1,360,790 in funds remaining

[Joe Republic]

 

ILLINOIS PRIMARY RESULTS

With 100% of precincts reporting, I'm pleased to announce that the winner is:


Rep. James Wallace of Virginia!!


The full results are as follows:

Wallace 56.9%   + $1,000,000
Cereal 43.1%   + $500,000




ANALYSIS

To be posted later.  (Tomorrow, I promise.)




DELEGATE COUNT

Illinois

Wallace: 36
Cereal: 28


TOTALS

Cereal: 692
Wallace: 583
Soult: 158 ( -> Cereal)
Calhoun: 48 ( -> Cereal)
Vandervoot: 18 ( -> Soult)
Wixted: 11 ( -> Cereal)
Arage: 6 ( -> Soult)

Unaffiliated: 120



POST-ELECTION SPEECHES

None so far.