Wales 2007 (National Assembly Elections)

[Rural Radical]

Thankfully there are NO boundary changes for the 2007 elections (thank goodness) and my personal opinons are:

GAINS
Cardiff North Lab 2% (to Con)  About the same I think
Carmarthen West Lab 2% (to Con) Ditto
Ceredigion PC 18% (to LD) Moved back to its master
Clwyd West Lab 2% (to Con) Agreed
Llanelli Lab 0% (to PC) No way increased Lab majority. Pc on backfoot
Preseli, Pembroke Lab 6% (to Con) With a local candidate Lab Hold
Swansea West Lab 13% (to LD) I dont think so. No evidence of Torys voting tactically.

Also add Labour Gain Wrexham

[Rural Radical]

Sort of; the part of the Merioneth seat not in the old county of Merioneth goes to Conwy, which loses Bangor and is renamed Aberconwy. Caernarfon loses the Lleyn, gains Bangor and is renamed Arfon. Basically fitting the boundaries in with local government boundaries and ending the pro-Plaid gerrymander in the area.

Arfon should be a Labour seat.

Aberconwy. 3 Way Marginal. Any Thoughts ?

Merioneth. Safe PC