I'd be pretty surprised.
Lots of comments so far saying Kasich isn't as moderate as people think... but that's the point. People think he's moderate, and people vote the way they think. He had stellar approvals, for a presidential candidate. It's not like nobody knew who he was or what his record was. Every indicator says he would have no trouble winning against Clinton, and that's all we can use as a basis for speculation.
Unless someone knows of some October surprise they're keeping secret in case Kasich runs again, his argument is as strong as Sanders's. I think each would have won pretty easily. Atlas gets lost in the weeds when the answers are usually just as simple as four words: who do people like?
Kasich wasn’t liked, though. Numbers don’t lie.
