When is 538 rolling out their maps? (user search)
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  When is 538 rolling out their maps? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When is 538 rolling out their maps?  (Read 830 times)
twenty42
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« on: July 23, 2018, 09:17:30 AM »

I thought they usually came out by the beginning of July.

I’m looking forward to seeing what changes Nate makes to his methodology after his titanic miss in 2016. 😂😂
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twenty42
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2018, 09:30:56 AM »

Nate was the only one giving Trump a chance fwi

His map was pretty awful and his state-by-state results were way off. RCP’s map was much closer to the actual result.
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twenty42
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Posts: 861
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2018, 12:18:13 PM »

Nate was the only one giving Trump a chance fwi

His map was pretty awful and his state-by-state results were way off. RCP’s map was much closer to the actual result.

To be fair, RCP's prediction only looked good because they had a ridiculous amount of tossups (GA? ME-AL? NM? IA?)

The no tossup map was actual + NV - MI - WI - PA. Not a slam dunk by any means, but at least they didn’t drink the NC/FL koolaid.
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twenty42
Jr. Member
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Posts: 861
United States


« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2018, 02:51:53 PM »

Nate was the only one giving Trump a chance fwi

His map was pretty awful and his state-by-state results were way off. RCP’s map was much closer to the actual result.

To be fair, RCP's prediction only looked good because they had a ridiculous amount of tossups (GA? ME-AL? NM? IA?)

The no tossup map was actual + NV - MI - WI - PA. Not a slam dunk by any means, but at least they didn’t drink the NC/FL koolaid.

FL koolaid?

Florida was decided by a point. Thats the definition of a toss-up.

Yes, it was a tossup, not Lean D as 538 and Politico were calling it.
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