twenty42
Jr. Member
Posts: 861
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« on: October 16, 2017, 10:52:52 AM » |
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A huge swing in the PV would probably result in a number of states trending the opposite way, just because of the way trends work. Just like in 2008 when there was a 10-point D swing in the PV but 24 states trended R.
Trends can be counterintuitive, and you don’t technically need to “max out” in a state for it to trend the opposite way either. If Trump improves in WV by 2% but improves in the NPV by 3%, it would still be a D trend. Just like how 2012 NC trended D even though the state flipped from D to R.
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