Is there a consistently anti-incumbent subset of voters? (user search)
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  Is there a consistently anti-incumbent subset of voters? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is there a consistently anti-incumbent subset of voters?  (Read 872 times)
twenty42
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Posts: 861
United States


« on: April 18, 2017, 06:19:08 AM »

The most important swing states have a tendency to vote against the incumbent party after two terms. FL and OH voted against the incumbent party in 2000, 2008, and 2016 while voting for the incumbent president in 1996, 2004, and 2012. More recently, IA voted against the incumbent party in 2008 and 2016 while voting for the incumbent president in 2004 and 2012. NC has voted against the incumbent president/party in the last three elections. NV voted against the incumbent party in 2000 and 2008 and for the incumbent president in 2004 and 2012.

All this being said, it would stand to reason that there have to be quite a few voters in these states who tend to vote for the "change" candidate, regardless of party.
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