Charlie Cook just downgraded Maryland Senate race to...

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Tossup.  I cant find a link, but heard about it on Kos.

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nick, why is this race even competitve?

cardin seems like a typical maryland democrat.  steele is a clown.

i dont understand.

One word:  Race. Ive talked with some people at the Cardin campaign and they are very, very worried about Prince George's County and the African American vote in general.  If Steele breaks 30-35%, he could very well win this thing.

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nick, why is this race even competitve?

cardin seems like a typical maryland democrat.  steele is a clown.

i dont understand.

Mainly because Steele has been running an above-average campaign and Cardin has been running a below-average one.  If this was another year, and not 2006, Steele would most likely be leading Cardin in the polls, I would venture to predict.

That too.

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Tossup.  I cant find a link, but heard about it on Kos.

I heard that Cardin skipped the debate last night.  Is this correct?

He skipped a non-televised debate that he was scheduled to attend.  On top of that, it was an NAACP debate.  Not exactly a bright idea considering the dynamics of the this race.

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They'll be on MTP this Sunday, by the way.

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I should add for Nick (wrong thread though)...

O'Malley 50%
Ehrlich 47%

Damn, Sam, its close!

Tell me something like... this is just MOE movement. 

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O'Malley rally today.

Those people werent fired up. /sarcasm

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This is why I supported Mfume so strongly in the primaries.  If Mfume were the candidate, he'd have the black vote locked up.

I'm afriad you're right.  My gut told me to go with Mfume the last few days before the primary, but my brain said Cardin.  O'Malley would be a lock, too, with high Af-American turnout.  Now we're looking at a demoralized African American community that may either stay home (hurts O'Malley) or vote Steele (hurts Cadin).

The one thing O'Malley has done very wrong this campaign is not use Anthony Brown enough.  The guy is a super star in the making.

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The one thing O'Malley has done very wrong this campaign is not use Anthony Brown enough.  The guy is a super star in the making.

So is he likely Maryland's first black governor?

Actually, how likely is a Steele vs. Brown gubernatorial race in the future? Also what do you think the odds are of an O'Malley Presidential run? I've heard at least one person prediction O'Malley is a future President.

Well, if O'Malley wins in 2006, I believe Brown will eventually run for Governor or Senate.

If Steele loses this year, he's finished.  Against a candidate like Brown or Cummings, Steele wouldnt stand a chance.

The O'Malley Presidential hype is nothing more than hype.  He's never once mentioned it.  People just assume because he's good looking and charismatic that he is going to run for President.  If he wins, will he run one day?  I have no idea, but nothing leads me to believe he will for sure.  The guy is a rock star though.  We really need him to win in Nov 7th.