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June 05, 2024, 01:46:52 AM
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Author Topic: California Predictions  (Read 3149 times)
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« on: November 04, 2005, 08:30:55 PM »

Thanks for the analysis.  I really cannot make a prediction.  The polling has been ALL OVER THE PLACE.  SUSA has most of the prop's passing while Field Poll and others have all of them failing.

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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2005, 10:53:29 PM »

Ford how has Villaraigosa been as Mayor so far?  I know you werent a fan of his at first.  Has he won you over at all?
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2005, 12:33:27 AM »

Sounds good so far.  I agree the homless plan is a big next step.

Why is the ACLU bitching about a plan to help clean up the homeless?  Its not like the city is going to put them on trucks and dump em' in the desert.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2005, 10:01:49 AM »

I worked at the final So Cal bus stop on Arnold's tour.  It was a good event, but it started late.  I had to leave and take one of the campaign strategists to the airport, so that was kind of cool.  I'll be at the after-election party in Beverly Hills.

I might get to be one of the people on TV who stands behind the Governor when he gives his victory/concession speech at night.  So watch out for that.  Then again, I might not get to do that.

How devistating do you think it will be if all of his prop's fail?  Or if only prop 73 passes?  Ive read a couple articles that state he's doomed in 2006 if doest 'win' in 2005.  What do you think?
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2005, 07:54:45 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2005, 07:57:15 PM by nickshep democRAT »

SurveyUSA. 11/4-6. 3,600 Likely voters. MoE 2.2%. (10/29-31 results)

Prop 73 -- Proposition 73 requires that physicians notify the parent of a pregnant minor at least 48 hours before performing an abortion. If the special election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, would you vote Yes on Proposition 73? Or would you vote No?

Yes 51 (55)
No 47 (44)

Prop 74 --  Proposition 74 extends the probationary period for new teachers from 2 years to 5 years, and makes it easier to dismiss teachers with unsatisfactory performance evaluations. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on Proposition 74? Or would you vote No?

Yes 48 (49)
No 51 (50)

Prop 75 -- Proposition 75 prohibits public employee unions from using union dues for political purposes without the written consent of union members. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on Proposition 75? Or would you vote no?

Yes 45 (50)
No 54 (49)

Prop 76 -- Proposition 76 limits growth in state spending so that it does not exceed recent growth in state revenues. The Governor would be granted new authority to reduce state spending, [including school funding,] during certain fiscal situations. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on Proposition 76? Or would you vote no?

Yes 39 (49)
No 59 (49)

Prop 77 -- Proposition 77 changes the way California draws boundaries for Congressional and legislative districts. District boundaries would be drawn by a panel of retired judges and approved by voters in a statewide election. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on 77? Or would you vote no?

Yes 41 (42)
No 56 (56)
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