Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 01:26:47 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 22978 times)
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« on: April 19, 2016, 07:42:12 PM »
Cruz is probably making this speech and making a big deal about this speech in an attempt to deflect the news cycle away from his crushing loss in NY.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 08:11:34 PM »
In which CDs is Trump most likely to do worst?
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 08:16:55 PM »
http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/Home.aspx
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 08:41:10 PM »
10th and 12th looking the most promising for Kasich getting a delegate.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 09:11:00 PM »
« Edited: April 19, 2016, 09:13:49 PM by Why »
12th is interesting, Kasich has actually closed the gap a bit, so Kasich could win the 12th. 13th is just scraping over 50% for Trump and the 22nd just dropped below 50
50%. 24th also below 50% for Trump

EDIT: 21st not 22nd and it is back above 50% for Trump.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 09:18:05 PM »
Kasich is now ahead in 12 by 6 votes
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2016, 09:19:40 PM »
There is some chance that Trump will get between 1230 and 1245 delegates at the convention on the first ballot so these delegates could matter.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2016, 09:44:12 PM »
Trump is looking at the possibility of losing a delegate in 10,12,13,20,24. Maybe 2 in 12.
So looks like a minimum of 89 delegates and probably a couple more than that. 91 or 92 most likely.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2016, 09:51:56 PM »
« Edited: April 19, 2016, 09:55:54 PM by Why »
Quote from: Seriously? on April 19, 2016, 09:48:24 PM
Quote from: Why on April 19, 2016, 09:44:12 PM
Trump is looking at the possibility of losing a delegate in 10,12,13,20,24. Maybe 2 in 12.
So looks like a minimum of 89 delegates and probably a couple more than that. 91 or 92 most likely.
Manafort said over 90 with the possibility of a few more. The way it's looking, 10 and 12 are Kasich delegates, a handful could go either way. 90+ sounds about right.

Looking again I think Trump loses 1 delegate in 10,12,20 and 24, so that is 91.
13 is going to come down to a very few votes, less than 50.
I doubt Kasich is going to win 12.

So 90 or 91 for me now.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2016, 09:56:47 PM »
Trump is below 50% in 13.

He is gaining on Kasich in 12
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2016, 10:02:16 PM »
Kasich has hit the lead again in 12.

Trump is 2 votes below 50% in 13.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2016, 10:06:18 PM »
Trump is creeping back up towards 50% in 20 but I think the remaining precincts in the part Saratoga county in 20 and Albany will keep him below 50%.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2016, 10:08:56 PM »
In 12 Trump has been just over 100 ahead most of the time but twice that I have seen Kasich has jumped to a tiny lead only to then fall back to just over 100 behind.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2016, 10:21:37 PM »
The only real doubt for me is who wins 12 and does Trump get to 50% in 13 and 20.
At he moment I think Trump wins 12 and fails to get to 50% in 20. 13 I have no idea.

So that is 90 or 91 most likely with an outside chance of 89 or 92.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 612
Australia


« Reply #14 on: April 19, 2016, 10:34:54 PM »
So 89 or 90 unless Trump gets to 50% in 20 which seems unlikely to me.
At the moment Trump on exactly 50% in 13.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 11 queries.