If a decade ago, you were shown the 2024 House map what would you assume about current politics? (user search)
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  If a decade ago, you were shown the 2024 House map what would you assume about current politics? (search mode)
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Author Topic: If a decade ago, you were shown the 2024 House map what would you assume about current politics?  (Read 352 times)
bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« on: April 27, 2024, 07:55:18 PM »

I certainly wouldn't think that Ohio has become a true red state. I would wrongfully believe it's purple as clearly there is enough Democratic pressure in the state congress to dismantle the hideous gerrymander in northeast Ohio. Look at that Akron-based district, probably blue while the neighboring Youngstown district may be more purple or blue if Lake County moves leftward. I couldn't imagine the Mahoning Valley shifting rightward enough to make that district right of center. 

The Toledo district includes some sharply conservative areas but should be blue as well (as long as the lakeside region east of Toledo doesn't suddenly lurch rightward for no reason), and I'd be surprised if the Cincinnati district retains their 20th century GOP loyalties. Overall this looks like a compromise or non-partisan map for my home state.

As for other parts of the country, notable states include Alabama (I see not one, but two potential black districts), Utah (obvious chopping of SLC which voted Romney, why? increasingly liberal SLC or just Republicans being dicks?), and Montana (a western district that could be winnable for Democrats, though I don't remember how much I knew about western Montana back in 2014).

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