Election models megathread

[bagelman]

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/eqKe165

Above is a simple house map based on the 538 polling error article. There's only one true 50/50 seat (TX-34).

Nathan Redd and Nathan Bleu both seem like very wealthy people. The only predictions I can make is that Redd thinks NY-GOV will flip and Dr. Oz will "hold" PA (flip to AKP and caucus with Republicans). I imagine that Bleu would probably say that KS-GOV will hold, but it seems clear he's less confident than Redd.