I was wrong about a lot, but I see the continuation of some 2012-2016 trends, at least in MI (and probably similarly in other states, particularly in the Midwest + PA):
-The gap between Oakland and Macomb Counties widened to 11 points, up from 10 last time. Bloomfield Hills, MI went Dem (50-49) for the first time in its history. Biden's gains came from Metro Detroit, while if anything Trump did better in many northern rural counties than he did in 2016 (Bay, Osceola, etc.) Also Saginaw was one of the closest counties in the US (+0.3 Biden).
What do you make of Antrim County's 15-pt. swing towards Biden, mathstatman? I've visited a close friend there and it seems as though it's your ordinary Trumpy semi-rural/small-town county.
State officials say a clerk’s error in a small Republican-leaning northern Michigan county earlier this week led to the reporting of unofficial voting results favoring Democrat Joe Biden.
Questions were raised after Antrim County first reported a local landslide for Biden against incumbent Republican Donald Trump in the presidential election.
The Republican National Committee included it among several allegations of voting irregularities in Michigan that favored Biden and Democrats.
RELATED: Antrim county counting ballots by hand after 'skewed results'
But Michigan’s Department of State said Friday evening that the clerk accidentally did not update software used to collect voting machine data.
More than 16,000 votes were cast. Revised totals show Trump defeating Biden in Antrim County, getting 56% of the vote.
