Post Random US Election County Maps Here

[bagelman]

Here is a revised version of my Holland county map. I went back and changed many states to make them more reflective of the results, and to make the map "cleaner". I'm also posting this to help bump the thread back up. Comments and questions are greatly appreciated:

snip

Also here if you cannot see it: http://fiction.wikia.com/wiki/File:United_States_presidential_election_results_by_county,_2020_(with_percentages).png.

Yes, I have a comment: This is the same idea of a map you've made over and over and over again for countless times. You've been at this for two or maybe three years now. It's not a bad map but you've played out the idea like nuts.

[bagelman]

You also have Summit OH voting for Trump against a midwesterner. Summit County is safe D as long as Ohio is <55% R. Safe D. Not Lean D. Not Likely D. Safe D. And I highly doubt that Wood County voting Democratic counts as <55% R.

[bagelman]

Not supposed to be a realistic election result. Take a guess what I did here.

Hint: the answer is in the filename.

[bagelman]

What was the previous government like?

[bagelman]

Democrat left off the ballot, assorted third parties and write ins cause the low %ages.

That seems possible, but I can't recall any recent statewide election in Alabama where third parties got that much of the vote.

do you guys just want me to tell you all?

Nixon's share of the vote in 1960.

[bagelman]

294-244 DEM

Closest DEM state: NV

Closest GOP state: OH

Tipping point state: NV->MA->IL

Most GOP state: ND

Most DEM state: MS

With all that out of the way, can anyone guess who the GOP nominee is?

margin of victory map for the above

Nobody responded to these maps, so I'm uploading the county map. Maybe with this one can form a correlation with something...

[bagelman]

GOP wins WV, TN, AL, OK, KS, SD, ID, and (narrowly) WY. Rest is DEM. Could be wrong about MS though - it's the hardest one.

[bagelman]

GOP wins WV, TN, AL, OK, KS, SD, ID, and (narrowly) WY. Rest is DEM. Could be wrong about MS though - it's the hardest one.

MS is Republican. I'm not sure how you arrived at that conclusion (that the Democrats won it). And do you mean that IA is narrowly Republican? In WY, the Republican runs unopposed.

I don't know MS inside out as much as other states. As for WY, the Republican almost managed to lose a vote. He probably had a margin of victory of less than 400k as well.

[bagelman]

Doug Ducey (Republican-Arizona) / Rob Portman (Republican-Ohio) ~356 EV

Joe Kennedy III (American Monarchist-Massachusetts) / Michelle Obama (American Monarchist-Illinois) ~182 EV

Of course, the runner up ticket styled itself as the Democratic party, not as the American Monarchist party. But a thorn by any other name would be just as sharp.

http://www.270towin.com/maps/80EbA

[bagelman]

I've done a map of Gary Johnson winning the same national percentage as Donald Trump against Hillary Clinton. Donald Trump is a minor nationalist candidate winning the same percentage as our Gary Johnson.



Biggest achievement for Johnson - he flips Travis TX! This while the state swings against him relative to OTL Trump due to little support in the Houston metro. Johnson keeps Orange CA as well, while Clinton is widely successful in the deep south and is better off in OH than IL.

 

[bagelman]

https://www.prri.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/AVA-2017-Figure_5.png downshifted by 10 points and third party voted simulated