Bismarck
Chancellor
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,365
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« on: March 11, 2016, 07:02:25 AM » |
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I did read an article once about how middle Pensylvania was where turnout was low and that Philly was pretty maxed out, so a candidate like Trump could get those people perhaps. Western Pennsylvania will continue to swing republican, at least one more cycle, and eastern PA will probably continue to trend D, although it's worth noting that places like Bucks county trended R in 2012 so the idea that it's a proportional trend is a little silly. So yes PA will probably be slightly D and close, it is not a safe D state by any means, if there is a republican president who wins a 2012 style victory they will most likely win PA.
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