Is there enough time for Christie to make a comeback?

[weixiaobao]

Is there enough time for Christie to make a comeback?  He doing well in New Hampshire and nationally, he had a tiny surge.

And what does it meant for the rest of the establishments since Kasich, Christie, Rubio, and Bush (to a much lesser extend Fiorina) all have their little core base in New Hampshire.  Enough so, that no one will drop out.

What is the chance that one of these 4 will win in New Hampshire?
In the second scenario, none of them drop out before New Hampshire.

Also if none of these 4 win in Iowa and New Hampshire, what will happen then?

[weixiaobao]

What surge are we talking about? He's increased his poll #s from 2.5 to 3%. He's not gonna win anything because nobody in the national conversation cares about him anymore.

Meh, I hate doing the legwork for you.  Why don't you take me in good faith that what I am saying is true.  Since I am entering datas constantly.  If you don't, at least, do some "google." 

But whatever, let used the low hanging fruit of 3%.

PPP had him at 5% recently, Rasmussen had him at 9%.

But more importantly, in New Hampshire (which keep Kasich some what relevant for you know maybe some deal across campaigns), Franklin Pierce had Christie at 10.8% tied for 2nd place via margin of error.

Go further back in New Hampshire polls, WBUR had him at 12% which is 2nd place.  Adrian Gray had him at 8% tied for 3rd via margin of error.  WMUR had him at 9% 3rd place.  PPP had him at 10%, statistically tied for 2nd place.

[weixiaobao]

What surge are we talking about? He's increased his poll #s from 2.5 to 3%. He's not gonna win anything because nobody in the national conversation cares about him anymore.

Lastly although all the conditions of 2012 and 2016 are different, national polls matter but so are Iowa and New Hampshire polls.  Santorum was super low in national polls, and he turn things around in Iowa in 1 weeks, which in turn improved his national pollings.