Did Clinton do as well as expected on ST?

[Lyin' Steve]

Vermont, Minnesota, and Colorado were always going to be big losses for Clinton unless Sanders utterly collapsed.  The press got a little carried away after Sanders got murdered in South Carolina and started wondering whether he could win any states other than Vermont, but that was just overreaction that's probably been forgotten.

Oklahoma was lean Sanders, Massachusetts was a toss-up.  Like the other two toss-ups, Clinton managed to eke out a victory.

The winner/loser results by state don't really show much of anything.  The race stayed at the status quo.  Bernie can keep the race going for a while but has little chance of winning, while the Clinton camp showed its professional operation once again by narrowly winning its third toss-up state.

The real story is how badly Bernie got killed in the southern states.  He lost by 2-1 margins in Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and Arkansas, and by close to 3-1 margins in Georgia and 4-1 in Alabama.  While Clinton was always expected to win those states, she significantly outperformed in terms of delegate math.  Sanders winning Colorado gets him 33 delegates to Clinton's 24.  Oklahoma is 20-16.  Minnesota is 42-24.  But Clinton's victory in Alabama, for instance, gives her 37 delegates to Sanders' 4.  Arkansas is 18-7.  Georgia is 66-23.  Texas was 122-48.  Other than Vermont, when Bernie won he won small.  When Hillary won she won big.

Bernie may be able to beat Hillary in the midwestern and western states coming up, but where is he going to crush her?  Where is he going to get his 75-25 wins that he needs to significantly cut into Hillary's 195-delegate lead?  What big states is Bernie going to win?  New York is Hillary's home state, she will beat Sanders by 80-20 there with the support of all of NYC.  Illinois and Michicgan's demographics are similar to SC on the Democratic side.  California and Florida's are similar to Texas.  Bernie almost certainly needs to score knockout punches on Hillary in most of the big states but other than Pennsylvania and Ohio, most of them look similar to states that Sanders has already not only lost but lost by impossibly wide margins.

This is why Hillary not only did as well as expected but far exceeded expectations tonight.  Her tiny victory in Massachusetts is nowhere near as consequential as the fact that she beat Sanders 65 to 33 in Texas.  Those results tell us that Maine will probably go for Sanders but California and Florida will probably go for Clinton.  And unless Bernie can change that, it's game over.