Presume no Rielle Hunter scandal with the financial collapse happening the same time as OTL. I'm thinking something like this:
*
Edwards-Bayh 404
Giuliani-Hutchinson 134
* I legitimately think i'm being generous here. Giuliani would be running as an openly pro-choice candidate making him even more anathema to the religious right then McCain was and on top of that it's tough for me to think of an even worse GOP nominee then him after the financial collapse even though the election may have appeared close before that. I know that South Carolina seems like a stretch but i'm thinking that if Conley is still the Democratic nominee then between that and and Edwards doing slightly better with the white vote and probably more votes for a Socially Conservative third party candidate and/or religious right voters staying home I think he would have won it.