Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
Posts: 4,735
Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41
|
 |
« on: November 22, 2017, 08:56:57 PM » |
|
-No more then 5 incumbent federal House reps running for reelection will lose renomination while no incumbent senator running for reelection will lose renomination. (this might not be that shocking)
-Despite 2018 being an overall strong Democratic night Republicans will gain at least one house seat, one senate seat and one Governor seat.
-Democrats will beat the polling average in individual Senate/Governor by an average of anywhere from 2-4 points
-Democrats won't improve on Hillary Clinton's margins with Hispanic voters by more then three points in the National house exit poll despite winning the PV by more then 5 points.
-One of Scott Walker, Larry Hogan, Chris Sununu will win Re-election with the other two being defeated.
-Democrats will pick up at least one of the following Governors seats: Iowa, Kansas or Georgia.
-Democrats will not come within 7 points of winning any currently held Republican senate seat with the exception of Nevada
-out of Texas, Georgia and Arizona Democrats will only pick up TX-23 from Republicans.
|
