It's strange how pretty much everyone has been treating the candidate who has consistently trailed in the polls as the favorite in this race from pretty much the day after the primary. Not that he can't win and not that Northam hasn't done some dumb stuff this week, but the whole thing just seems very odd to me.
If you look at the prediction thread you will notice mostly predictions of a Northam victory.
Edit: I don’t think people believe Gillespie will win just that he has a decent chance too (like 40% or so). Anyway the polling is kind of been erratic meaning it’s tough to get an entirely clear picture of the race. Northram running negative attack ads and changing positions suggests that he is probably not entirely confident in his victory.