mencken
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,222
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« on: February 11, 2016, 05:47:48 PM » |
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Alabama - I think Cruz's ground game and evangelical bona fides put him over the top here, although Trump should be stronger here than in the other Hucktorum states due to Sessions Alaska - Will vote for Cruz (or possibly Rubio) out of spite for their infamous former governor. Arkansas - See Alabama Colorado - Has voted for the most viable conservative challenger over the last two cycles, plus the West hates Trump. Cruz, with a slight chance of Rubio Georgia - Romney nearly won in 2008, and voted for Gingrich in 2012 (sure, he was the favorite son, but regardless Santorum did not do well). Trump's best Hucktorum state IMO. Massachusetts - Kasich should do well here, but it might be too difficult to overcome Trump's Northeastern appeal. Minnesota - See Colorado Oklahoma - See Arkansas Tennessee - See Arkansas, although given their Senators and Governor I could possibly see an opening for Kasich. Texas - Cruz country Vermont - I think Kasich wins this Virginia - No clue. Not sure whether Appalachia (Trump country) or the DC exurbs (Kasich/Rubio/Bush) win out here.
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