The 2016 map if Kasich was the nominee? (user search)
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  The 2016 map if Kasich was the nominee? (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2016 map if Kasich was the nominee?  (Read 7574 times)
Kingpoleon
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« on: July 16, 2019, 03:34:44 PM »

Does anyone making predictions for this abusrd scenario want to clarify under what plausible sequence of events the GOP nominates the single most loathed candidate among Republican primary voters and elite party actors alike?
Kasich was at 69/24 at the end in favorability among Registered Republicans, compared to 58/37 for Cruz and 74/24 for Trump. How is that “the most loathed candidate”??

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Kingpoleon
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Posts: 22,144
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2019, 03:29:11 PM »

Why would Kasich only do ~2% better than Trump in the PV?
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Kingpoleon
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Posts: 22,144
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2019, 12:56:05 PM »


Insightful.

Kasich's 2010 gubernatorial margin was smaller than Drumpf's 2016 win in the state, and he got reelected simply because he had no serious challenger. His big crusade (eliminating collective bargaining for public employees - basically the Walker agenda) got annihilated by ballot measure 61-38. Oh, and he has the personality of a cardboard box.

Yeah, I'm seeing an obvious loser whose whole career is running in easy elections. And Clinton didn't lose because she was Clinton, that's just a narrative people are using in anticipation of Drumpf not getting reelected.

He beat the Executive of the biggest county in his state. Kasich won over 25% of the black vote(literally 4-5 times what Trump got), a large majority of Hispanics, >55% of labor voters, and outperformed Trump by at least 5-10% in almost every group against someone with a serious appeal to urban Ohio voters. He had a more diverse winning coalition than basically any other Republican in 2014, and that’s because he renounced the Tea Party and successfully placed himself as a different kind of Republican.

He’s not a boilerplate Bush/Romney Republican by any stretch of the imagination.
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