didn't McConnell start out fairly far behind in 2014 too? McConnell has that seat as long as he wants it because he runs bloody as hell campaigns.
I mean he beat Grimes by 15 even with just horrible approval ratings. Now that might be a reflection on Grimes, but still.
Grimes ran a terrible campaign in 2014 and the race started as a dead-heat.
If you named a Democrat, McConnell would probably be ahead at the moment (perhaps by 1 or 2, but ahead nevertheless)
I doubt he would against Ben Chandler, Jim Gray, Andy Beshear, or Daniel Mongiardo.