PREDICT: NJ-05 Garrett (R) vs. Gottheimer (D) (user search)
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  PREDICT: NJ-05 Garrett (R) vs. Gottheimer (D) (search mode)
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Author Topic: PREDICT: NJ-05 Garrett (R) vs. Gottheimer (D)  (Read 1146 times)
Kingpoleon
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Posts: 22,144
United States


« on: October 31, 2016, 05:41:36 PM »
Scott Garrett: 50%
Josh Gottheimer: 47%
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Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 03:24:23 PM »
Quote from: Torie on November 01, 2016, 09:22:38 AM
Quote from: AKCreative on November 01, 2016, 09:13:08 AM
It's an R+4 district and 89% non-hispanic white, there's more favorable targets for Dems than NJ-5.

Yeah, but Garrett is a sub par incumbent who is not a very good fit for the district, with its fairly big chunk of upscale zip codes.
At best he's connected to the Christopher Smith/RFayette moderate/populist economic types. If he can play that up and adopt the ideology of Smith and Walter Jones, he should be safe until 2022.
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