mvd10
YaBB God
Posts: 3,709
Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61
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« on: August 21, 2018, 06:37:50 AM » |
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If we weigh Rauner 2014 with 25% and Trump 2016 with 75% Rauner roughly gets:
41.7% in Lake
53.8% in McHenry
46.2% in Kane
44.2% in DuPage
46.6% in Will
He'd get about 41% statewide if he use that formula for the entire state. If we weigh both results with 50% it'll look like this:
47% in Lake
57.8% in McHenry
50.9% in Kane
49.7% in DuPage
49.5% in Will
He'd get about 44% statewide if you use this model for the entire state.
In the end I guess the result in the collar counties will be somewhere inbetween depending by which margin Rauner loses. If Rauner somehow manages to win (unlikely) he'd probably win all collar counties though. But right now I'd say that McHenry votes for Rauner, Kane and Will will be very close and Lake and DuPage vote for Pritzer.
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