NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump +1 in GA, +5 in AZ, +9 in TX (user search)
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  NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump +1 in GA, +5 in AZ, +9 in TX (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump +1 in GA, +5 in AZ, +9 in TX  (Read 4582 times)
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,459
« on: November 03, 2016, 04:22:18 PM »
2-way

Arizona
Clinton 41
Trump 46

Georgia
Clinton 46
Trump 47

Early vote

Arizona
Clinton 44
Trump 47

Georgia
Clinton 46
Trump 48

Texas
Clinton 42
Trump 52
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HillOfANight
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 04:33:26 PM »
Quote from: Happy Sad Trumpista on November 03, 2016, 04:26:13 PM
Quote from: HillOfANight on November 03, 2016, 04:22:18 PM
2-way

Arizona
Clinton 41
Trump 46

Georgia
Clinton 46
Trump 47

Early vote

Arizona
Clinton 44
Trump 47

Georgia
Clinton 46
Trump 48

Texas
Clinton 42
Trump 52


Do you have a link to pdf/crosstabs?

That was from the article. Marist usually posts the details 1-2 days after http://maristpoll.marist.edu/
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 06:14:21 PM »
http://www.wsj.com/articles/new-poll-finds-close-race-in-georgia-1478206826
More details will be at Marist's site tomorrow, but WSJ has a few nuggets.

Georgia

Black (30%)
Clinton 89
Trump 5

White
Clinton 25
Trump 63

Hispanics in Arizona/Texas
Trump 24%

Arizona Whites
Trump +17 (McCain +19)

Texas Whites
Trump +48  (McCain +47)

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HillOfANight
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 06:21:28 PM »
Consistently, live caller polls show a close race, with strong Johnson support. Landline polls show a strong Trump lead.

If the early voting were more diverse, I would believe it's a true tossup, but it's still probably Trump +5 at the end of the day.
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HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2016, 06:46:28 AM »
Quote from: psychprofessor on November 04, 2016, 12:50:42 AM
Live caller polls from Q and Marist in GA have this as a 1 point race. This is without any direct contact from Clinton since February.

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/10/18/pro-clinton-super-pac-priorities-usa-to-start-georgia-television-campaign/

I see at least 1 PrioritiesUSA ad in Georgia once a day. Thinking perhaps the late ads are holding this to a close race, as other red states have pulled away. Then again, Georgia has not swung around that much this year, except the most recent robopolls.
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HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2016, 10:39:06 AM »
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/114-az-trump-up-by-5-points-ga-trump-and-clinton-competitive-tx-trump-leads-by-9-points/
Crosstabs are up.

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA161030/NBC%20News_WSJ_Marist%20Poll_Georgia_Tables%20of%20Likely%20Voters_November%202016.pdf#page=3

Georgia (2 way numbers). Trump only up 38 among whites vs usual 50 point margin.

White
Clinton 27
Trump 65

Black
Clinton 91
Trump 6

White men
Clinton 28
Trump 64

White women
Clinton 27 (lol)
Trump 66
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