GA Landmark/WSB-TV: Clinton 72 Sanders 20, Trump 32 Rubio 23 Cruz 19

[HillOfANight]

http://m.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/poll-shows-clinton-enormous-lead-georgia-primary/nqWJr/

http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/02/22/Georgia_Democratic_Pres_Poll_Feb_21st_.pdf
http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/02/22/Georgia_GOP_Pres_Pref_Poll_Feb_21ST_2016.pdf

Clinton lead getting stronger. Their last poll was Clinton 63-22.

Trump 32%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 19%
Carson 8%
Kasich 8%

Seems like Cruz is sputtering.

[HillOfANight]

Obama beat her here 66-31. Seems like she could outdo him vs Sanders.

Of course, we also have a big black population, not sure what actual turnout will be without Obama. Still, even in 2004, Democrat primary was 50% nonwhite.

[HillOfANight]

Poll is probably junk, since it says that Clinton has a large lead with all age groups, including 18-29. But, at least I got a good laugh imagining a 50 point Clinton win in Georgia.

Why is that implausible? Maybe she is losing the sub-subgroup of white millenials but many polls show black millenials aren't feeling the bern.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/clinton-maintains-national-lead-over-sanders-after-n-h-loss-n519076

Only 25% of black millenials support Bernie according to NBC.

[HillOfANight]

I actually just saw a Hillary ad the other day around noon at my work gym She is working to rack up the margins.

[HillOfANight]

For courtesy:

Trump 31%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 18.7%
Carson 8.1%
Kasich 7.9%

Thanks! Original post has been updated with crosstabs too. It says 66% of white voters support Hillary compared to 26% Bernie which seems unusual compared to other states...

[HillOfANight]

Fixed

[HillOfANight]

It was in Midtown Atlanta, maybe either ESPN or CNN or the local channels (all that the gym plays). If that's not shown in the data, perhaps they don't have the granularity to see as much as they think. I've only seen it once though.

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/02/22/hillary-clintons-campaign-features-morgan-freeman-in-new-georgia-ad/

It wasn't this ad that was targeted at the "black belt". It was one that mentioned her reducing nuclear weapons, her healthcare advocacy, etc.

[HillOfANight]

Sanders burned a ton of cash on ads in Nevada. I think his resources might be getting a bit thin, and there hasn't been any public bragging about huge fundraising in the wake of the loss in Nevada.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/02/20/bernie-sanders-is-burning-through-cash/

[HillOfANight]

How the hell is Rubio only 10 points behind Trump here?

Metro Atlanta/Country Club Republicans. Crosstabs show Trump dominating the country, but basically tied with Rubio in Metro ATL.