Demoracy Corps: Clinton leads Rubio and Walker

[HillOfANight]

I think it's a good poll for the crosstabs and the insights into popularity of specific issues and into the mindset of unmarried women.

Overall, a bit skewed towards Democrats. 27% of sample is liberal, and just 25% is conservative. 51% voted for Obama compared to just 40% for Romney.

[HillOfANight]

http://www.democracycorps.com/National-Surveys/a-new-american-agenda-for-a-new-american-majority/
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/06/29/1397719/-The-Rising-American-Electorate-Game-Changers-in-the-2016-Elections


She almost has the same performance Obama has with minorities and does a lot stronger with white unmarried women and white millennials.

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[HillOfANight]

Sample is Obama +11, while 2012 was Obama +4. So, adjusting the results 7 points in favor of the republicans gives these as the actual results:

Clinton Tied with Walker
Clinton leading Rubio by 2.

You're assuming that the 2016 electorate is going to be the same as the 2012 electorate.

http://cookpolitical.com/story/8608
http://www.slate.com/blogs/moneybox/2012/11/13/the_white_vote_decline_as_it_usually_does.html

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