Obama is a better fit for the state, but it will trend Democratic anyway in 2016. VA should really make the Republicans worried. In fact, it is THE reason Republicans have to contest PA.
Can anyone explain this comment? 15 people voted for it but no one indulged.
Decreased Minority turnout/ Decreased monolithic minority voting patterns. Against generic R with no Obama on the ticket, I don't see Asian and Latino (hell, even black voters) voting as overwhelmingly D as was the case under Obama. IIRC Asian voters had a 25 point swing from 2012 to 2014. At the same time, I don't see any real reason for the rural white voters who flipped from D to R switching back without some change in platform.
I don't see why the Democrats can' continue to have a monopoly on the Latino vote. Sure, Bush/Rubio might perform a little better than Romney, but Obama has just passed DACA. Latinos will want a Democrat for the best chance of taking that to the next level of citizenship for DACA.
Poll
