Figueira
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« on: November 24, 2016, 02:32:19 PM » |
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For the electoral vote (i.e. states that voted for Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016): Michigan (since 2008), Ohio (since 1964), Wisconsin (since 2008), Pennsylvania (since 2008), Florida (since 1996), Iowa (since 2004)
I think the one most likely to continue is Florida.
For the popular vote (i.e. states that voted for Bush in 2004 and have voted for Democrats since then): Colorado (since 2004), New Mexico (since 1980), Nevada (since 2004), Virginia (since 2004)
I think the one most likely to continue is Nevada, although it's very possible that they'll all fail the next time a Republican wins the popular vote (at that point, I can see places like Minnesota, New Hampshire and Maine becoming the new PV bellwethers).
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