Massachusetts Governor 2018

[Figueira]

I think he's favored for now, but I don't think he's absolutely 100% safe like some people think. A lot can happen in 2 1/2 years.

The only question is whether Baker can top Bill Weld in 1994.

Even if he gets a similar percentage, the map won't look as impressive. A lot of tiny towns in Western Massachusetts have trended left since then.

Edit: the link just shows the county map, but if you look at the town map, the Democrat only won six towns.

[Figueira]

Either Kennedy or Moulton would be the Democratic candidate if they jumped in. If they both ran, I feel like Kennedy would be a better idea for Democrats, as Moulton's district is much more competitive. If neither ran, it's Safe Republican, with Kim Driscoll having the potential to lose worse than Mark Roosevelt. On the third party side, Evan Falchuk is running again.

Neither Kennedy nor Moulton are going to give up safe House seats (Moulton's seat isn't really that competitive) for a governor's race that they probably wouldn't win. I mean, I'd happily vote for them, but they wouldn't want to take that risk.

[Figueira]

Either Kennedy or Moulton would be the Democratic candidate if they jumped in. If they both ran, I feel like Kennedy would be a better idea for Democrats, as Moulton's district is much more competitive. If neither ran, it's Safe Republican, with Kim Driscoll having the potential to lose worse than Mark Roosevelt. On the third party side, Evan Falchuk is running again.

Neither Kennedy nor Moulton are going to give up safe House seats (Moulton's seat isn't really that competitive) for a governor's race that they probably wouldn't win. I mean, I'd happily vote for them, but they wouldn't want to take that risk.

They wouldn't have to give up their House seats.

Don't reps need to give up their seats to run for governor in a normal year?

[Figueira]

Either Kennedy or Moulton would be the Democratic candidate if they jumped in. If they both ran, I feel like Kennedy would be a better idea for Democrats, as Moulton's district is much more competitive. If neither ran, it's Safe Republican, with Kim Driscoll having the potential to lose worse than Mark Roosevelt. On the third party side, Evan Falchuk is running again.

Neither Kennedy nor Moulton are going to give up safe House seats (Moulton's seat isn't really that competitive) for a governor's race that they probably wouldn't win. I mean, I'd happily vote for them, but they wouldn't want to take that risk.

They wouldn't have to give up their House seats.

Don't reps need to give up their seats to run for governor in a normal year?

Nope, and I'm not even sure it would be constitutional to prohibit running for both offices simultaneously, since one is a federal office and the other is a state office.

Are there any examples of people running for House and Governor (of any state) simultaneously? I can't think of any, but I haven't been closely following politics for that long.