Conservative Public Universities (user search)
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Figueira
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« on: September 10, 2015, 09:20:44 AM »

18-24 in 2016 is very different than 18-29 in 2015.  Those 2015 23-29 year olds are far, far more liberal than the 2015 17-22 year olds.  1992 serves as a breaking point between a more liberal and a more centrist (or, really, more evenly polarized) generation.

Do you have a source for those claims?

I doubt it. I have a source though:

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/race/house#exit-polls

18-24: 54% Democrat 44% Republican 2% Other/NA
25-29: 54% Democrat 43% Republican 3% Other/NA

Not really much of a statistical difference.
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Figueira
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Posts: 12,173


« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2015, 09:37:05 AM »

18-24 in 2016 is very different than 18-29 in 2015.  Those 2015 23-29 year olds are far, far more liberal than the 2015 17-22 year olds.  1992 serves as a breaking point between a more liberal and a more centrist (or, really, more evenly polarized) generation.

Do you have a source for those claims?

I doubt it. I have a source though:

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/race/house#exit-polls

18-24: 54% Democrat 44% Republican 2% Other/NA
25-29: 54% Democrat 43% Republican 3% Other/NA

Not really much of a statistical difference.

Plus, that's a recent midterm, when many of the most liberal folks just stayed home.

Sure. But it's the best data we currently have for that age group, since most of those people weren't old enough to vote in 2012. In 2016 we'll get a better picture.
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