Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,906
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E: -4.06, S: -6.52
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« on: May 18, 2024, 09:29:37 AM » |
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Having a rally can never really hurt someone, and the rate of return usually makes having one rally instead of zero more impactful than having 28 rallies instead of 27. Also, I think most here agree it looks like greater NYC will probably shift right compared to 2020. That all being said, I really don't think the effect of this rally will be noticeable in any of the data. If the Bronx swings 10 points right, it will be for other reasons (namely the influx of recent migrants) and not because Trump held a rally there.
And while, as I said, rallies can't really hurt, there is a question of whether trying to get the Bronx to be 78-19 Biden rather than 83-16 Biden is the most efficient use of Trump's resources, especially when his schedule is so limited by his trials.
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