2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 170054 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« on: October 29, 2018, 07:14:59 AM »

SLAY.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2018, 11:32:49 PM »
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on November 03, 2018, 11:25:16 PM
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 03, 2018, 11:24:35 PM
Again the consistency of the CGB is amazing

Yep, it's been D+8-9 for the past two weeks.

On the other hand, this could just be herding like we saw in 2014, and might lose some late-breaking shifts as last-minute voters decide.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2018, 10:32:49 PM »

Here's some #Analysis:
LA Times correctly called Trump winning -> Good pollster
LA Times's last national poll before the 2016 election had Trump +5 nationally -> Not good! Time to unskew!
Clinton won the popular vote by 2 points. -> LA Times was 7 points too Republican.
15+7 = 22
QED: Good pollster predicts 22 point Democratic victory
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2018, 09:25:05 AM »

Nice!
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