Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (user search)
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  Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)  (Read 202757 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,802
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: April 11, 2017, 07:35:24 PM »

Stop getting me all excited, people. Now I have to commit to sitting at my computer for the next few hours pressing refresh instead of, you know, eating and doing taxes.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,802
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2017, 07:54:22 PM »

What if Ds end up winning KS-04 and MT-AL but lose GA-06 what message would that send to the DCCC?

RuralNon-Southern voters are far more elastic than their suburban Southern counterparts?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,802
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2017, 08:04:03 PM »

Woah, are these Sumner numbers for real?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,802
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2017, 07:21:42 PM »

Using the ol' Excelorama, plugging in the shift (Pompeo -> Estes, Giroux -> Thompson) across all House seats would see the Dems picking up 99 seats, winning the house 293 to 142.

Obviously that's not going to happen, but it should maybe entice the blue avatars here to cut it out with the gloating.



Maps please

Here's the map. For me the biggest takeaway is just how big those redistricting cases in FL, NC, and VA might end up being.

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