Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,892
Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
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« on: November 11, 2016, 05:18:54 PM » |
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It's January 2020...
Scenario 1: The Trump presidency has been a disaster. Democrats retake the House in 2018 and gain a seat in the Senate. Trump is wide-eyed and clearly overwhelmed, he rarely makes public appearances and is booed down and heckled when he does. Several cabinet members have resigned or been impeached and unemployment is reaching upper single digits. Polls show all Democrats, everyone from Warren to Webb to Cuomo up nearly twenty points nation-wide, up double-digits in Texas and Florida, and set to pick up about 7 seats in the Senate. They are free to pick whomever they like, and are fairly certain that no matter who it is or what their policies are, they will win handily.
Scenario 2: It's morning in America! the unemployment rate and uninsured rate are at 4% nation-wide. ISIL is vanquished, poverty is at an all-time low and race relations are at least perceived as having improved. Trump's approval rating is in the upper 60s, and polls are showing states like Illinois and Delaware to be competitive. The Supreme Court has overturned the Voting Rights Act entirely and defeat seems all but assured for the Democrats. They are looking for someone to cut their losses down-ballot without wasting the candidacy of someone who might have a better chance in the future.
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