NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17% (user search)
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  NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17%  (Read 8926 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,869
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« on: February 17, 2016, 01:02:51 PM »
Nate Silver changed his polls-plus probability for Nevada from Clinton as 51% favorite to Clinton as 69% favorite based (as far as I can tell) solely on this poll. I'm guessing that means he assumes a pretty big house effect in favor of Sanders?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,869
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2016, 06:11:45 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on February 17, 2016, 05:50:15 PM
The fact that we now have two polls showing a statistical tie should at least unnerve our resident Hillbots a little bit.

The fact that no poll, not even the crazy Republican one, has shown Sanders with a lead is more what I'm focused on.
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