Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,869
Political Matrix E: -4.06, S: -6.52
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« on: December 10, 2015, 01:23:27 PM » |
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Trump is shrewd enough that he can probably strategically backtrack on some of the things he said to win over some of the more easily swayed voters, but if he does so, he risks the ultra-right not turning out and voting for him. So to some extent, he's painted himself into something of a corner. I imagine the PV margin would be something like 2008, but I don't see Indiana going D. Arizona, Missouri, and Georgia would all be close, and it would all come down to which groups turns out. If Hispanic anger at Trump lasts until the election, I could see Arizona being the first to flip.
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