Make five predictions about 2020, and discuss the previous poster's predictions (user search)
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  Make five predictions about 2020, and discuss the previous poster's predictions (search mode)
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Author Topic: Make five predictions about 2020, and discuss the previous poster's predictions  (Read 2571 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,869
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: October 06, 2015, 03:22:49 PM »

In response to Tetro Kornbluth:
1) I agree, and I think Kurdistan and Scotland are the most likely with Catalonia in a close third.
2) Depends on how you're defining "Radical Left," but I can see it happening, at least in the EU.
3) Yes.
4) I hope so.
5) Definitely.

My predictions:
1) Moldova is a candidate to join the EU, but the problem of Transnistria leads to a resurgence in Unionism with Romania as an alternative.
2) Corbyn becomes PM, but flames out in grand fashion leading to an anti-Labour landslide.
3) The Dalai Lama dies and China attempts to replace him in Lhasa, but a competing claim in India leads to increased tensions.
4) Venezuela is in civil war
5) Fidel Castro dies and Cuba quietly begins to liberalize its government and economy.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,869
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2015, 06:42:05 PM »

1) Moldova is a candidate to join the EU, but the problem of Transnistria leads to a resurgence in Unionism with Romania as an alternative.

In response to TCC:
1. So wouldn't that put Moldova in the EU anyway as Romania is already a member of it?

Let me clarify. Unionists in Moldova will push for joining Romania as a sort of "express" EU membership option, as Moldova joining on its own would likely be a long and draining path.

-SKIP-
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,869
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2016, 08:09:45 PM »

Bump.

Well, nine months later and nobody managed to predict the Brexit or a coup attempt in Turkey. Just goes to show our analytic and predictive skills here.
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