LOL, Ian, I've finally realized you don't know one damn thing about Arkansas politics.
Well, in his most recent post in this topic, he did mention that he thought Pryor would be reelected. I agree that his first post about the Arkansas race was off-base; Arkansas is still very much Democratic at a state level, even if it favors Republicans for President. It would also be very willing to vote for a moderate Southern Democrat for President.
Unless you were saying that was wrong.
Well, it was that and I remember a few other posts by him in the past about Arkansas politics where I was thinking "What the hell?"