libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,611
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« on: March 27, 2020, 10:48:05 AM » |
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We could end up with one of these results:
-A Nelson result: An uncontroversial Senator who should have bipartisan appeal ends up losing by the narrowest of margins due to running an ineffective campaign and not reading the room.
-A Manchin win: Said Senator's incumbency advantage gives him a victory, but it's much narrower-than-expected due to the rightward trend of his state.
-An easy win: Ends up winning by a decent margin, proving the polls right and riding with the national mood.
-A Donnelly result: Incumbent Senator polls ahead in virtually every poll; however, he has difficulty exceeding 44-46% in said polls. That number ends up being prophetic on election night, as that's the number he gets due to the challenger winning over undecideds and soft supporters of the incumbent, possibly due to national circumstances (2018 was Kavanaugh and caravans, this year it could be corona and something else that we don't know about yet).
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