I know I am harping on this, but the stands Bush has taken on "free" trade and amnesty for illegal immigrants has hurt him among the white working class, voters who are socially Conservative, but as The Vorlon would term, economically stressed. The same forces took down former Sen. Abraham R-MI in 2000.
Bush doing better among Hispanics will help him gain only one state, New Mexico, compared to 2000, it wont help him gain states elsewhere. Bush doing worse among the white working class may very well caus ehim to lose WV, OH and possibly even MO and AR.
Read any good magazines lately?