How many different polls did we have over recent weeks and months now with Trump leading in MI? I know the state's polls were off in the past and in both directions, but it's worrisome regardless. I'm beginning to doubt it's really the most likely Trump 2016/Biden 2020 state to stick with Biden. It's a tossup at best, probably even Tilt R as of today.
If we’re going by Emerson, Trump is leading in all the other battlegrounds as well by 2 or more points.
Yup, but in MI we had other pollsters as well showing Trump ahead. I don't even recall the latest MI poll in which Biden was leading. There were at least a few polls from other battlegrounds since January that had Biden ahead (like in PA).