Criteria for a presidential mandate (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Process (Moderator: muon2)
  Criteria for a presidential mandate (search mode)
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Author Topic: Criteria for a presidential mandate  (Read 13209 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« on: December 12, 2023, 10:26:01 AM »

FDR 1936: Win over 75% EV's: Done
FDR 1940: Same: Done
FDR 1944: Same, and war success: Done
Truman: Win over 66% EVs: Failure
Eisenhower 1956: Win over 75% EV's: Done
LBJ: Win over 75% EVs: Done
Nixon 1972: Win over 75% EV's: Done
Carter 1976: Win over 66% EV'S: Failure
Reagan 1984: Win over 66% EV's: Done
Bush Sr 1992: Win over 66% EV's: Failure
Clinton 1996: Win over 66% Ev's: Done
Bush Sr: Win over 66% EV's: Failure
Obama: Win over 66% EV's: Failure

You mean Bush Jr? Obama won 67.8% of EC in 2008 and 61.7% in 2012.

I don't think the EC is really an indicator. Especially with the 3rd parties in the mix. Trump won more EVs than W in 2004 despite losing the NPV by 2 pts. instead of winning by that percentage. Reagan won slightly more EVs in 1980 than Johnsin in 1964 while the margin was just under 10 pts. instead of 22 pts. Wilson in 1912 won 81% of the EC despite just obtaining 41% of the vote.
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