Reagan's charisma and his outsider image narrowly gets him over the edge.
✓ Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Senator Richard Schweiker (R-PA): 278 EVs.; 49.5%Former Governor Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Senator Walter Mondale (D-MN): 260 EVs.; 49.0%However, because the 1977-81 is extremely difficult both at home and abroad (economy, Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, Iran; I think that had happened regardless of who's prez), Reagan's reelection is doomed. He loses if Dems come up with a strong candidate.
✓ Former Governor Reubin Askew (D-FL)/Senator John Glenn (D-OH): 323 EVs.; 51.2%President Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Vice President Richard Schweiker (R-PA): 215 EVs.; 46.4%