IL-Gov Victory Research: Pritzker +18

[Sir Mohamed]

Victory Research Poll:

Pritzker (D): 49%
Rauner (R, inc.): 31%

Sample: 1,208 LV

Link

The race is likely D, and even moving closer to safe D. Rauner is toast, he underperforms Quinn 2014 at this point in time.

[Sir Mohamed]

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.

[Sir Mohamed]

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.

Even if Trump is re-elected, Pritzker will be toast in 2022. I can already imagine him having -20 approvals.

Oddly, Blagojevich won re-election by double digits in 2006 thanks to Bush, even though he had like a -20 approval rating and was running against a popular moderate Republican statewide elected official, lol.

Well, as far as I remember, scandal-free Quinn had higher approvals in 2014 and still lost despite a modestly popular incumbent president who was from IL.