Jerry Brown 2020 case

[Sir Mohamed]

He won't run due to his age, though I really admire our governor.


What are his chances to win Democratic nomination ?

- Depends on the other candidates. I wouldn't rule it out that he wins it nomination, but he wouldn't start as the clear frontrunner.


Who should be his running-mate ?

- Some names that would make sense: Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Cory Booker or Martin Heinrich


What du you expect will be his programm ?

- Average Democratic on social and most economic issues with a streak of fiscal discipline, a strong focus on climate change and green energy, electoral reform (end gerrymandering) as well as campaign finance reform.


What could be his performance in GE ?

- Against Trump? 60% chance he wins. Against Pence? 70% wining chance. He would likely win back MI, PA and probably WI. Good chance he carries FL as well. Strongly competitive in AZ and a 35% chance for OH.


What are his strengths and weaknesses ?

- Pros: Longtime experience in government and a strong gubernatorial record, a decent man with no scandals. Cons: Age, only an average speaker/campaigner